College Football Rating Methodology

‘Final Rating’ standardizes a number of metrics (see below) and applies a weight to each based on perceived importance.

Metrics

Wins: overall wins in the current season

Average Wins: meant to counteract scenarios where teams have played a different amount of games due to byes, cancellations, or opponents that are not in the model because they are not D1.

Strength of Schedule (SOS): estimate of quality of opponents

Big Losses: losses by 20 or more points

Big Wins: wins by 20 or more points

Close Losses: losses by 5 or less points

Weights

METRICWEIGHT
Overall Wins25.000%
Wins per Game25.000%
Big Losses20.625%
SOS16.250%
Big Wins15.625%
Close Losses2.500%

Conceptual Model

Final Rating = (Overall Rating * .25) + (Average Wins * .25) – (Big Losses * .20625) + (SOS * .1625) + (Big Wins * .15625%) + (Close Losses * .025%)

Actual Model

Final Rating = (Standardized Overall Rating * .25) + (Standardized Average Wins * .25) – (Standardized Big Losses * .20625) + (Standardized SOS * .1625) + (Standardized Big Wins * .15625%) + (Standardized Close Losses * .025%)