‘Final Rating’ standardizes a number of metrics (see below) and applies a weight to each based on perceived importance.
Metrics
Wins: overall wins in the current season
Average Wins: meant to counteract scenarios where teams have played a different amount of games due to byes, cancellations, or opponents that are not in the model because they are not D1.
Strength of Schedule (SOS): estimate of quality of opponents
Big Losses: losses by 20 or more points
Big Wins: wins by 20 or more points
Close Losses: losses by 5 or less points
Weights
METRIC | WEIGHT |
Overall Wins | 25.000% |
Wins per Game | 25.000% |
Big Losses | 20.625% |
SOS | 16.250% |
Big Wins | 15.625% |
Close Losses | 2.500% |
Conceptual Model
Final Rating = (Overall Rating * .25) + (Average Wins * .25) – (Big Losses * .20625) + (SOS * .1625) + (Big Wins * .15625%) + (Close Losses * .025%)
Actual Model
Final Rating = (Standardized Overall Rating * .25) + (Standardized Average Wins * .25) – (Standardized Big Losses * .20625) + (Standardized SOS * .1625) + (Standardized Big Wins * .15625%) + (Standardized Close Losses * .025%)